lowrisk
The supply crunch might stretch as much as a seven-year event from now, but the spring is loaded already. It isn’t only a supply, demand scenario when talking about silver. Little accounted for is any surprise, and in our opinion, the slightest cough could set this spring off. The sum of fundamental facts is overwhelming on how the next large turning point could set silver into stellar motion. With this many accelerators, it makes this an incredible risk/reward-ratio play. Silver, the loaded spring. Q3 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Here are a few facts that we do not see accoun...
ValueWalk
When discussing wealth preservation or any form of a conservative hedge, the word gold comes easily to the forefront. The shiny metal has a substantial history of having saved a civilization or two. The lesser obvious choice is silver, but this precious metal is in a unique situation right now that any speculator that seeks out a hedge against inflation should be aware of. Silver, the edge over gold. Q3 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more It isn’t just a good bet to hedge exuberant market risk right now. It is massively undervalued and, as such, a pristine play in itself. Silver In U...
ValueWalk
Tied to the hip to Gold, it is essential to keep an eye on the Gold/Silver-ratio. Silver is still stretched, lagging, while Gold is currently taking a breather and hence getting ready to approach the US$2,000 mark. Most likely gold will go beyond that level. It isn’t far-fetched to expect sooner or later a rubber band effect of Silver needing to catch up, and once it breaks the US$30 level, it might as well accelerate much faster than expected. Silver with a turbo. Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Recent trading sessions have driven Silver and Gold to lower levels. Still, Silve...
ValueWalk
We don’t learn much about the principles of money-making in school. After basic living costs and security, money-making motivation is extending one’s self-expression. That next big purchase, that next vacation, living on a larger scale. Freedom! When stepping into the trading arena, the environment allows for such freedom. No nine to five, no rules, no boss; after all, you can do what you want with your money. A true lure for self-expression. That is a very dangerous environment. Without a tight rule-based framework, there is no chance of making money. It requires even more discipline than a t...
ValueWalk
One way to gain certainty about the quality of a turning point is by examining the recent past. Looking at the daily chart watching price behavior over the last twenty sessions gives quite some insights into the actual strength of the weekly timeframe turning point and its quality. It is this habit of analyzing price behavior that dictates the aggressiveness of market participation (trade frequency) and money management (exposure size). Silver, Read the moves. Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Not every price advance is the same in its validity. Let us have a look at why recent ...
ValueWalk
Resilience is the capacity to recover quickly from difficulties. In other words, toughness. Looking back over the last year, the world has experienced just such toughness. Unfortunately, this isn’t over yet. Maybe it’s even just the beginning, and much more is to come? We believe preparation is the wise course of action, but it needs a plan. Silver, Focus on resilience. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Silver’s price faces just the same strain. Much influenced by various strings pulling. It is essential to stay focused on the prime fundamentals and the clear long-term case for ...
ValueWalk
When the situation changes, you have to be willing to change with the situation. It is this required flexibility that distinguishes the professional from the amateur, not only in trading. While the bigger picture is the same, we have seen many unusual pattern formations over the last two months. Intraday trading behavior similarly is atypical for Silver and points towards manipulation. Luckily, changes like this also provide opportunities. Silver’s situation changed, you change. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This week’s price action changed the probability for the short term...
ValueWalk
Looking at the next chart, you will find a clear trend in motion. Undeniably. And still, there is always this feud between fundamentalists and chartists. In our opinion, any extreme view of trading is unhealthy. You want to have an open mind and let the market lead you along. The principle is that charts encompass all market participants’ opinions, and as a sum, this entails all interpretations of fundamentals. While chartists love this argument, it overlooks that fundamentals are essential to evaluate a long-term market. This is especially significant when history changes on a more dramatic s...
ValueWalk
ValueWalk
We have identified the most commonly made mistake in technical analysis to be the representation. Representation equals psychology! Psychology being the most important aspect of trading means that the way charts are represented is extremely important. Rarely do we see trading supportive setups. Silver market, you got to know how! Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Here are a few tips we find useful to get the best out of your chart space. Less is not always more.In our opinion charts from cell phones are useless. Their aspect ratios and general size do not allow for the professio...
ValueWalk
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