Wall Street edges higher following data that shows the labour market is cooling

By Jack Mendel

A choppy day of trading on Wall Street ended on Friday with slight gains for stocks, as the market notched its second straight winning week.

The market got a boost early on from a closely watched government report that showed US job growth increased at a healthy but more moderate pace last month.

The report supports investors’ hopes that the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising interest rates again in its bid to lower inflation.

After initially rising as much as 0.8 per cent following the release of the jobs report, the major indexes shed most of their gains and spent the day wavering between small gains and losses.

The S&P 500 finished 0.2 per cent higher.

The benchmark index was coming off its first monthly loss since February.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3 per cent and the Nasdaq composite closed less than 0.1 per cent lower.

Still, that slight dip broke its five-day winning streak.

The Labour Department reported on Friday that employers added a solid 187,000 jobs in August.

The job growth marked an increase from July’s revised gain of 157,000 but still pointed to a moderating pace of hiring compared with earlier this year.

From June through August, the economy added 449,000 jobs, the lowest three-month total in three years.

The report also showed that the unemployment rate rose from 3.5 per cent to 3.8 per cent , the highest level since February 2022, though still low by historical standards.

Wall Street welcomed the latest monthly labour market snapshot as it roots for the economy to show signs of lower inflation and cooling job growth so that the Fed will be able to ease up on its rate hike campaign.

“Today’s employment report will add to recent data which indicates the Fed can pause on raising interest rates,” said Steve Wyett, chief investment strategist of BOK Financial.

The strong job market, along with consumer spending, has so far helped thwart a recession that analysts expected at some point in 2023.

But they also made the central bank’s task of taming inflation more difficult by fuelling wage and price increases.

Market jitters over the possibility that the Fed might have to keep interest rates higher for longer — following reports showing the US economy remains remarkably resilient — led to the market’s pullback in August.

But this week, stocks mostly rallied following reports showing job openings fell to the lowest level since March 2021, consumer confidence tumbled in August and a measure of inflation closely tracked by the Fed remained low in July.

The recent economic snapshots have bolstered the view on Wall Street that the Fed may hold rates steady at its next policy meeting in September.

“From a data-dependent Fed perspective, the economic data we have seen in August in conjunction with today’s jobs report certainly reinforces the idea that we have seen the last rate hike during this cycle,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management.

The central bank has raised its main interest rate aggressively since 2022 to the highest level since 2001.

The goal has been to rein inflation back to the Fed’s target of 2 per cent .

The Fed has maintained that it is ready to keep raising interest rates if it has to, but will base its next moves on the latest economic data.

Bond yields mostly rose on Friday.

The yield on the two-year Treasury, which tracks expectations for the Fed, got as high as 4.91 per cent at one point, but fell to 4.88 per cent by late afternoon.

It was at 4.87 per cent late on Thursday.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans, rose to 4.17 per cent from 4.11 per cent .

Banks and financial services stocks accounted for a big share of the gains among S&P 500 companies.

Charles Schwab rose 2.3 per cent and US Bancorp added 1.5 per cent .

Rising oil prices helped push energy stocks higher.

Exxon Mobil rose 2.1 per cent and Chevron was up 2 per cent .

The price of US crude oil climbed 2.3 per cent , extending its weekly gain to 7.3 per cent .

The increase comes as production cuts by major producers continue to prop up the market.

Many industry analysts are expecting to Saudi Arabia to extend those cuts through October.

Communications stocks were among the laggards.

Disney dropped 2.4 per cent after the entertainment giant pulled its programming, including ESPN, from Charter Communication’s Spectrum TV after the companies failed to come to terms on a new distribution deal.

Charter was down 3.6 per cent .

Walgreens Boots Alliance fell 7.4 per cent after the company announced that chief executive Rosalind Brewer is stepping down at the end of the month and that Ginger Graham will take over as interim chief executive.

All told, the S&P 500 rose 8.11 points to 4,515.77 on Friday.

The Dow gained 115.80 points to 34,837.71, and the Nasdaq slipped 3.15 points to 14,031.81.

US markets will be closed on Monday for Labour Day.

PA – Alex Veiga, Associated Press