Major shift in Biden-Trump swing state polling

This combination of photos taken in Columbia, S.C. shows former President Donald Trump, left, on Feb. 24, 2024, and President Joe Biden on Jan. 27, 2024. Biden and Trump each won the White House by razor-thin margins in key states. Now, with a rematch of their bitter 2020 campaign all but officially set after Super Tuesday, the two campaigns are unveiling their strategies for an unprecedented matchup between a president and his immediate predecessor. (AP Photo)

Polling is only a snapshot in time.

But with that caveat out of the way, things appear a touch rosier for President Joe Biden after months and months of polling that showed former President Donald Trump would sail to reelection if the rematch were held today.

The November contest will again be decided by at least a half-dozen swing states. And new polling from Bloomberg Tuesday showed Biden gaining ground in seven of them.

Compared to last month, Biden made incremental gains in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.

To be fair to Trump, the Bloomberg poll shows he’d still win if the contest were today. But the poll shows Biden, at least for now, narrowed — and in one case, overcame — his gap with Trump.

Per Bloomberg: “Biden’s more upbeat numbers come at an inflection point in a campaign matchup that has seemed predetermined for months. The president and Trump each clinched their parties’ nominations on March 12, beginning an extraordinarily long general election season.”

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Matt Arco may be reached at marco@njadvancemedia.com. Follow him on Twitter at @MatthewArco.

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