Rosenblatt Securities raises Apple price target to $260: Is it within reach?

40+ Apple statistics 2022

Shares of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) surged 2% today following a significant upgrade from Rosenblatt Securities, which raised its price target on the tech giant from $198 to $260 while increasing its rating from ‘Neutral’ to ‘Buy’.

This bullish revision, fueled by Apple’s advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), underscores growing investor confidence in its future prospects.

Rosenblatt analysts highlighted Apple’s strategic focus on privacy-centric AI initiatives, such as Privacy Cloud Compute, positioning it favorably against competitors amidst rising costs in the tech sector.

AI-fueled upgrades

This bullish sentiment resonates across Wall Street, with multiple firms echoing confidence in Apple’s AI capabilities.

Wedbush Securities, for instance, maintains an Outperform rating on AAPL with a lofty $275 price target, emphasizing the transformative impact of Apple Intelligence on the iOS ecosystem.

Wedbush Analyst, Dan Ives, foresees a wave of generative AI-driven applications that could bolster Apple’s revenue streams significantly, potentially adding $30 to $40 per share in value over time.

Ben Reitzes of Melius Research shares this optimism, raising his price target to $260 from $227 on June 24.

He underscored Apple’s potential to monetize AI through hardware sales and enhanced services, foreseeing a robust earnings trajectory supported by strong iPhone upgrade cycles.

Similarly, analysts at Bernstein reiterated Apple’s Outperform rating recently with a revised price target of $240, highlighting investor enthusiasm over Apple’s shift towards AI leadership and its vast customer base’s potential utility.

Analysts at J.P. Morgan joined the chorus of bullish sentiments, elevating their price target to $245 from $225 on expectations of AI-driven growth in iPhone sales.

Analysts anticipate significant upticks in iPhone volumes driven by the introduction of AI features across Apple’s product lineup, starting with the iPhone 16 launch.

This strategic move positions Apple to capitalize on evolving consumer preferences for AI-enhanced functionalities, potentially propelling its earnings per share (EPS) to new heights.

Financials: A mixed bag

Looking into Apple’s recent financial performance, the company reported a mixed quarter with a slight YoY revenue decline of 4%, attributed to challenging macroeconomic conditions and tough comparables in iPhone sales.

However, robust growth in high-margin services revenues and strategic cost management supported stable net income and earnings per share growth, bolstered further by aggressive share repurchases.

Apple’s fortress balance sheet, ending the quarter with $162.4 billion in cash against $104.6 billion in debt, positions it strongly for future strategic investments.

Despite these financial strengths, concerns linger about iPhone sales saturation and the evolving competitive landscape in AI.

Some analysts wonder whether Apple can sustain its historical dominance amidst increasing competition and market saturation, particularly in light of generative AI innovations poised to drive the next iPhone upgrade supercycle.

Now that we’ve examined Apple’s recent financial performance, it’s crucial to delve into the charts. Technical analysis can provide deeper insights into how market dynamics and investor sentiment are shaping AAPL’s price trajectory amidst these developments.

Bullish momentum, but don’t initiate fresh positions

In our previous article on Apple, ‘BofA reiterates ‘Outperform’: Will Apple stock finally break above $200?’, published when the stock was trading at $190 we mentioned:

Recently, the stock has shown a strong rebound, climbing from around $165 to over $190 since mid-April, indicating that bullish sentiment currently dominates. However, whether this marks the beginning of a new bull run will only be confirmed if the stock achieves a weekly close above $200. If this happens, bullish investors could consider buying the stock with a stop loss set at $178.6.

Now that the stock has given a weekly closing above $200, we are witnessing it displaying strong bullish momentum.

Medium-term and short-term technical indicators have turned deep green with the RSI indicator currently in the overbought zone.

AAPL chart by TradingView

Investors who haven’t yet bought the stock yet, shouldn’t open fresh long positions right now despite it showing strong bullish momentum.

They must wait for the stock to cool down a bit by going through a retracement or a period of consolidation.

Traders who are bearish on the stock must also ideally refrain from shorting it at current levels as it has become quite volatile after crossing the $200 threshold.

Fresh short positions must only be considered if the stock drops below its recent swing low at $206.6.

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