investmentadvice
It’s a rare thing to see an article explaining how best to engage in market timing. Most of today’s investors either don’t believe that market timing is necessary or don’t even believe that it works. So the demand for such articles is weak. I hope that that soon changes. Investors Should Practice Market TimingI believe that market timing always works and is always required. I base that belief on the finding in Robert Shiller’s 1981 Nobel-prize-winning research showing that valuations affect long-term returns. If returns rise and fall with changes in valuation levels, then the risk associated w...
ValueWalk
I don’t believe that market timing is a bad idea. I believe that it’s the best idea there is. If Shiller’s Nobel-prize-winning research is legitimate research, irrational exuberance is a real thing. That means that stock investing risk is not stable but variable; stocks are more risky when prices are high. That means that investors who want to Stay the Course in a meaningful way MUST engage in market timing. Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more No Market Can Survive Without Price DisciplineMarket timing is price discipline and no market can survive without price discipline. That’s ...
ValueWalk
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